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AMC12 2012 A

AMC12 2012 A · Q15

AMC12 2012 A · Q15. It mainly tests Probability (basic), Casework.

A $3 \times 3$ square is partitioned into $9$ unit squares. Each unit square is painted either white or black with each color being equally likely, chosen independently and at random. The square is then rotated $90\,^{\circ}$ clockwise about its center, and every white square in a position formerly occupied by a black square is painted black. The colors of all other squares are left unchanged. What is the probability the grid is now entirely black?
一个 $3 \times 3$ 的正方形被分割成 $9$ 个单位正方形。每个单位正方形被涂成白色或黑色,两种颜色等可能,且彼此独立、随机选择。然后将整个正方形绕其中心顺时针旋转 $90\,^{\circ}$,并把所有处在“原先由黑色正方形占据的位置”上的白色正方形涂成黑色。其余正方形颜色保持不变。问此时整个网格全为黑色的概率是多少?
(A) $\frac{49}{512}$ $\frac{49}{512}$
(B) $\frac{7}{64}$ $\frac{7}{64}$
(C) $\frac{121}{1024}$ $\frac{121}{1024}$
(D) $\frac{81}{512}$ $\frac{81}{512}$
(E) $\frac{9}{32}$ $\frac{9}{32}$
Answer
Correct choice: (A)
正确答案:(A)
Solution
First, look for invariants. The center, unaffected by rotation, must be black. So automatically, the chance is less than $\frac{1}{2}.$ Note that a $90^{\circ}$ rotation requires that black squares be across from each other across a vertical or horizontal axis. As such, $2$ squares directly across from each other must be black in the $4$ edge squares. Since there are $2$ configurations for this to be possible (top and bottom, right and left), this is a chance of \[\left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right )+ \left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right )=\frac{1}{2}\] However, by PIE, subtract the chance all 4 are black and both configurations are met: $\frac{1}{2}- \left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right ) \cdot \left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right )=\frac{7}{16}$. Through symmetrical reasoning, the corners also have a $\frac{7}{16}$ chance of having a configuration that yields all black corners. Then, the chance that all squares black is the intersection of all these probabilities: $\frac{1}{2} \left (\frac{7}{16} \right ) \left (\frac{7}{16} \right ) = \boxed{\textbf{(A)}\ \frac{49}{512}}$ Also, if you have little to no time and are guessing, notice there are a total of $2^9 = 512$ ways to permutate the colors on the square (Each square can be white or black, so there are 2 possibilities for each of the 9 squares). Thus, the answer must be in some form of $\frac{\text{the number of good cases}}{\text{the total number of cases}}$, so E is not possible. Also, since the number of good cases must be an integer, C is not possible. From there, your chances of guessing the right answer are slightly higher. ~Extremelysupercooldude
先找不变量。中心格在旋转下位置不变,因此它必须是黑色。所以概率必然小于 $\frac{1}{2}.$ 注意一次 $90^{\circ}$ 旋转要求黑色格在竖直或水平轴的对称位置上成对出现。 因此,在 4 个边格中,正对的 2 个格必须为黑色。满足这一点有 2 种配置(上与下,或左与右),其概率为 \[\left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right )+ \left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right )=\frac{1}{2}\] 但用容斥原理(PIE),要减去 4 个边格全黑、从而两种配置同时满足的概率: $\frac{1}{2}- \left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right ) \cdot \left (\frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} \right )=\frac{7}{16}$。由对称性,四个角格也有 $\frac{7}{16}$ 的概率满足使四个角最终全黑的配置。 于是所有格全黑的概率为这些事件的交集: $\frac{1}{2} \left (\frac{7}{16} \right ) \left (\frac{7}{16} \right ) = \boxed{\textbf{(A)}\ \frac{49}{512}}$ 另外,如果你时间不够只能猜,注意共有 $2^9 = 512$ 种给网格着色的方式(9 个格每个有黑白两种可能)。因此答案必须形如 $\frac{\text{满足条件的情况数}}{\text{总情况数}}$,所以 E 不可能。并且满足条件的情况数必须是整数,所以 C 不可能。这样猜对的概率会稍微高一些。 ~Extremelysupercooldude
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