Let $S$ be the set of permutations of the sequence $1,2,3,4,5$ for which the first term is not $1$. A permutation is chosen randomly from $S$. The probability that the second term is $2$, in lowest terms, is $a/b$. What is $a+b$?
设 $S$ 为序列 $1,2,3,4,5$ 的所有排列中第一项不是 $1$ 的那些排列的集合。从 $S$ 中随机选取一个排列。第二项为 $2$ 的概率化为最简分数为 $a/b$。求 $a+b$。
There are $4$ choices for the first element of $S$, and for each of these choices there are $4!$ ways to arrange the remaining elements. If the second element must be $2$, then there are only $3$ choices for the first element and $3!$ ways to arrange the remaining elements. Hence the answer is $\frac{3 \cdot 3!}{4 \cdot 4!} = \frac {18}{96} = \frac{3}{16}$, and $a+b=19 \Rightarrow \mathrm{(E)}$.
集合 $S$ 的第一项有 $4$ 种选择,对每一种选择,剩余元素有 $4!$ 种排列方式。若第二项必须为 $2$,则第一项只有 $3$ 种选择,且剩余元素有 $3!$ 种排列方式。因此所求概率为
$\frac{3 \cdot 3!}{4 \cdot 4!} = \frac {18}{96} = \frac{3}{16}$,所以 $a+b=19 \Rightarrow \mathrm{(E)}$。