A number m is randomly selected from the set \{11, 13, 15, 17, 19\}, and a number n is randomly selected from \{1999, 2000, 2001, ..., 2018\}. What is the probability that \(m^n\) has a units digit of 1?
从集合 \{11, 13, 15, 17, 19\} 中随机选取一个数 m,从 \{1999, 2000, 2001, ..., 2018\} 中随机选取一个数 n。\(m^n\) 的个位数为 1 的概率是多少?
Answer (E): For $m \in \{11,13,15,17,19\}$, let $p(m)$ denote the probability that $m^n$ has units digit $1$, where $n$ is chosen at random from the set $S=\{1999,2000,2001,\ldots,2018\}$. Then the desired probability is equal to $\frac15\bigl(p(11)+p(13)+p(15)+p(17)+p(19)\bigr)$. Because any positive integral power of $11$ always has units digit $1$, $p(11)=1$, and because any positive integral power of $15$ always has units digit $5$, $p(15)=0$. Note that $S$ has $20$ elements, exactly $5$ of which are congruent to $j \bmod 4$ for each of $j=0,1,2,3$. The units digits of powers of $13$ and $17$ cycle in groups of $4$. More precisely,
\[
(13^k \bmod 10)_{k=1999}^{2018}=(7,1,3,9,7,1,\ldots,3,9)
\]
and
\[
(17^k \bmod 10)_{k=1999}^{2018}=(3,1,7,9,3,1,\ldots,7,9).
\]
Thus $p(13)=p(17)=\frac{5}{20}=\frac14$. Finally, note that the units digit of $19^k$ is $1$ or $9$, according to whether $k$ is even or odd, respectively. Thus $p(19)=\frac12$. Hence the requested probability is
\[
\frac15\left(1+\frac14+0+\frac14+\frac12\right)=\frac25.
\]
答案(E):对 $m \in \{11,13,15,17,19\}$,令 $p(m)$ 表示当从集合 $S=\{1999,2000,2001,\ldots,2018\}$ 中随机选取 $n$ 时,$m^n$ 的个位数为 $1$ 的概率。则所求概率为 $\frac15\bigl(p(11)+p(13)+p(15)+p(17)+p(19)\bigr)$。因为 $11$ 的任意正整数次幂个位数恒为 $1$,所以 $p(11)=1$;又因为 $15$ 的任意正整数次幂个位数恒为 $5$,所以 $p(15)=0$。注意 $S$ 有 $20$ 个元素,其中恰有 $5$ 个分别与每个 $j=0,1,2,3$ 满足模 $4$ 同余。$13$ 和 $17$ 的幂的个位数以 $4$ 为周期循环。更具体地,
\[
(13^k \bmod 10)_{k=1999}^{2018}=(7,1,3,9,7,1,\ldots,3,9)
\]
以及
\[
(17^k \bmod 10)_{k=1999}^{2018}=(3,1,7,9,3,1,\ldots,7,9).
\]
因此 $p(13)=p(17)=\frac{5}{20}=\frac14$。最后注意到 $19^k$ 的个位数为 $1$ 或 $9$,分别对应 $k$ 为偶数或奇数。因此 $p(19)=\frac12$。所以所求概率为
\[
\frac15\left(1+\frac14+0+\frac14+\frac12\right)=\frac25.
\]